**Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on September 5, 2026, indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies will drive the daily minimum into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius or below, aligning with the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C or lower.** Model consensus from sources such as GFS shows early-morning temperatures bottoming near 24–27°C after daytime highs reach 34–37°C, consistent with climatological averages for early September (historical low around 17°C) but elevated by the ongoing warm pattern. Light northeasterly winds and low dew points near 7–10°C support efficient surface cooling without significant advection of warmer air. The primary catalyst remains the latest model runs confirming this range, with resolution hinging on official observations from stations like Madrid-Retiro. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow, could push the minimum above 24°C, though current guidance assigns minimal probability to those outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Madrid on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 5?
24°C or below 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$222 KL.
100%
25°C
$355 KL.
<1%
26°C
$64 KL.
<1%
27°C
$20 KL.
<1%
28°C
$20 KL.
<1%
29°C
$20 KL.
<1%
30°C
$20 KL.
<1%
31°C
$20 KL.
<1%
32°C
$20 KL.
<1%
33°C
$20 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$20 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on September 5, 2026, indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies will drive the daily minimum into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius or below, aligning with the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C or lower.** Model consensus from sources such as GFS shows early-morning temperatures bottoming near 24–27°C after daytime highs reach 34–37°C, consistent with climatological averages for early September (historical low around 17°C) but elevated by the ongoing warm pattern. Light northeasterly winds and low dew points near 7–10°C support efficient surface cooling without significant advection of warmer air. The primary catalyst remains the latest model runs confirming this range, with resolution hinging on official observations from stations like Madrid-Retiro. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow, could push the minimum above 24°C, though current guidance assigns minimal probability to those outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$801Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on September 5, 2026, indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies will drive the daily minimum into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius or below, aligning with the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C or lower.** Model consensus from sources such as GFS shows early-morning temperatures bottoming near 24–27°C after daytime highs reach 34–37°C, consistent with climatological averages for early September (historical low around 17°C) but elevated by the ongoing warm pattern. Light northeasterly winds and low dew points near 7–10°C support efficient surface cooling without significant advection of warmer air. The primary catalyst remains the latest model runs confirming this range, with resolution hinging on official observations from stations like Madrid-Retiro. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow, could push the minimum above 24°C, though current guidance assigns minimal probability to those outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$801Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on September 5, 2026, indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies will drive the daily minimum into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius or below, aligning with the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C or lower.** Model consensus from sources such as GFS shows early-morning temperatures bottoming near 24–27°C after daytime highs reach 34–37°C, consistent with climatological averages for early September (historical low around 17°C) but elevated by the ongoing warm pattern. Light northeasterly winds and low dew points near 7–10°C support efficient surface cooling without significant advection of warmer air. The primary catalyst remains the latest model runs confirming this range, with resolution hinging on official observations from stations like Madrid-Retiro. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow, could push the minimum above 24°C, though current guidance assigns minimal probability to those outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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