Ongoing monsoon activity with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over eastern Uttar Pradesh is the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures elevated near 27°C. Recent IMD observations show overnight lows around 27°C amid 70-90% relative humidity and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. Variable rainfall timing and intensity—forecast at 70-80% chance for August 24—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24-28°C, as heavier cloud decks or showers would limit drops below 26°C while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower values. Model consensus from official sources points to continued moist conditions without major shifts expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
25°C 28%
28°C 28%
24°C 27%
26°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
28%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 28%
28°C 28%
24°C 27%
26°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
28%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing monsoon activity with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over eastern Uttar Pradesh is the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures elevated near 27°C. Recent IMD observations show overnight lows around 27°C amid 70-90% relative humidity and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. Variable rainfall timing and intensity—forecast at 70-80% chance for August 24—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24-28°C, as heavier cloud decks or showers would limit drops below 26°C while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower values. Model consensus from official sources points to continued moist conditions without major shifts expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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