Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds are positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on September 13, with traders assigning it a 77% implied probability. Official Met Office guidance forecasts a minimum of 16°C under largely cloudy skies with possible mist or fog patches, while multiple model runs and station data show limited radiative cooling overnight due to the humid air mass. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, where minimums typically range from 14–18°C. Key upcoming data releases include updated Met Office hourly observations and any revised overnight model guidance that could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop or if temperatures track closer to 17°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 13?
Lowest temperature in London on September 13?
18°C 87%
17°C 34%
16°C 5.1%
15°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
24%
18°C
77%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 87%
17°C 34%
16°C 5.1%
15°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$155 KL.
<1%
13°C
$155 KL.
<1%
14°C
$55 KL.
<1%
15°C
$280 KL.
1%
16°C
$536 KL.
5%
17°C
$2,315 KL.
24%
18°C
$2,268 KL.
77%
19°C
$2,185 KL.
<1%
20°C
$862 KL.
<1%
21°C
$155 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$155 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds are positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on September 13, with traders assigning it a 77% implied probability. Official Met Office guidance forecasts a minimum of 16°C under largely cloudy skies with possible mist or fog patches, while multiple model runs and station data show limited radiative cooling overnight due to the humid air mass. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, where minimums typically range from 14–18°C. Key upcoming data releases include updated Met Office hourly observations and any revised overnight model guidance that could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop or if temperatures track closer to 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,121Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds are positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on September 13, with traders assigning it a 77% implied probability. Official Met Office guidance forecasts a minimum of 16°C under largely cloudy skies with possible mist or fog patches, while multiple model runs and station data show limited radiative cooling overnight due to the humid air mass. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, where minimums typically range from 14–18°C. Key upcoming data releases include updated Met Office hourly observations and any revised overnight model guidance that could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop or if temperatures track closer to 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,121Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds are positioning 18°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on September 13, with traders assigning it a 77% implied probability. Official Met Office guidance forecasts a minimum of 16°C under largely cloudy skies with possible mist or fog patches, while multiple model runs and station data show limited radiative cooling overnight due to the humid air mass. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, where minimums typically range from 14–18°C. Key upcoming data releases include updated Met Office hourly observations and any revised overnight model guidance that could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop or if temperatures track closer to 17°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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