Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's minimum temperature for 18 August 2026 in the 17–19 °C range, with 19 °C as the modal outcome. This positioning stems from persistent mild airflow, limited cloud cover overnight, and urban heat-island buffering that reduces radiative cooling in central districts. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, showing no incoming fronts or significant wind shifts that could drive sharper drops. Historical August baselines for London minima cluster near 13–14 °C, yet current conditions track above average, keeping lower bins (17 °C and below) at low implied probabilities. Traders will monitor the next official Met Office update and real-time observations for any late adjustments before the 24-hour period closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 18?
Lowest temperature in London on August 18?
19°C 57%
18°C 53%
20°C 16%
17°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
41%
19°C
43%
20°C
30%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 57%
18°C 53%
20°C 16%
17°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
$199 KL.
<1%
15°C
$408 KL.
<1%
16°C
$618 KL.
1%
17°C
$1,486 KL.
5%
18°C
$1,705 KL.
41%
19°C
$1,702 KL.
43%
20°C
$671 KL.
30%
21°C
$278 KL.
<1%
22°C
$222 KL.
<1%
23°C
$192 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$182 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's minimum temperature for 18 August 2026 in the 17–19 °C range, with 19 °C as the modal outcome. This positioning stems from persistent mild airflow, limited cloud cover overnight, and urban heat-island buffering that reduces radiative cooling in central districts. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, showing no incoming fronts or significant wind shifts that could drive sharper drops. Historical August baselines for London minima cluster near 13–14 °C, yet current conditions track above average, keeping lower bins (17 °C and below) at low implied probabilities. Traders will monitor the next official Met Office update and real-time observations for any late adjustments before the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,662Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's minimum temperature for 18 August 2026 in the 17–19 °C range, with 19 °C as the modal outcome. This positioning stems from persistent mild airflow, limited cloud cover overnight, and urban heat-island buffering that reduces radiative cooling in central districts. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, showing no incoming fronts or significant wind shifts that could drive sharper drops. Historical August baselines for London minima cluster near 13–14 °C, yet current conditions track above average, keeping lower bins (17 °C and below) at low implied probabilities. Traders will monitor the next official Met Office update and real-time observations for any late adjustments before the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,662Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's minimum temperature for 18 August 2026 in the 17–19 °C range, with 19 °C as the modal outcome. This positioning stems from persistent mild airflow, limited cloud cover overnight, and urban heat-island buffering that reduces radiative cooling in central districts. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, showing no incoming fronts or significant wind shifts that could drive sharper drops. Historical August baselines for London minima cluster near 13–14 °C, yet current conditions track above average, keeping lower bins (17 °C and below) at low implied probabilities. Traders will monitor the next official Met Office update and real-time observations for any late adjustments before the 24-hour period closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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