Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 15 amid a shift to fresher northerly flow after the early-week heat peak, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–21°C. This positioning reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud, urban heat-island retention, and light winds that can limit temperature drops. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts, keeping the 19–22°C band plausible while rendering sub-18°C outcomes unlikely absent stronger advection. The next high-resolution update and any late-evening observational adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 15?
Lowest temperature in London on August 15?
20°C 43%
21°C 42%
19°C 16%
22°C 4%
MỚI
$10,025 KL.
MỚI
$10,025 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
16%
20°C
43%
21°C
42%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 43%
21°C 42%
19°C 16%
22°C 4%
MỚI
$10,025 KL.
MỚI
$10,025 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
14°C or below
$804 KL.
<1%
15°C
$539 KL.
1%
16°C
$416 KL.
<1%
17°C
$665 KL.
1%
18°C
$736 KL.
2%
19°C
$1,700 KL.
16%
20°C
$2,499 KL.
43%
21°C
$1,576 KL.
42%
22°C
$577 KL.
4%
23°C
$297 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$217 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 15 amid a shift to fresher northerly flow after the early-week heat peak, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–21°C. This positioning reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud, urban heat-island retention, and light winds that can limit temperature drops. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts, keeping the 19–22°C band plausible while rendering sub-18°C outcomes unlikely absent stronger advection. The next high-resolution update and any late-evening observational adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,025Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 15 amid a shift to fresher northerly flow after the early-week heat peak, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–21°C. This positioning reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud, urban heat-island retention, and light winds that can limit temperature drops. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts, keeping the 19–22°C band plausible while rendering sub-18°C outcomes unlikely absent stronger advection. The next high-resolution update and any late-evening observational adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,025Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 15 amid a shift to fresher northerly flow after the early-week heat peak, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–21°C. This positioning reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud, urban heat-island retention, and light winds that can limit temperature drops. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts, keeping the 19–22°C band plausible while rendering sub-18°C outcomes unlikely absent stronger advection. The next high-resolution update and any late-evening observational adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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