Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate showers and cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures on August 14, positioning 31°C and 32°C as the market-implied leaders amid typical August climatology of 31–32°C daily highs. Seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal readings through October, consistent with observed mean maximums near 32.7°C so far this month and a recent 36.9°C spike on August 9 under very hot conditions. Potential steering influences from regional tropical systems and elevated humidity could sustain heat if convection weakens, while increased rainfall probability favors slightly lower maxima by limiting solar heating. Updated local forecasts and observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
31°C 40%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
40%
32°C
28%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$300 KL.
<1%
27°C
$254 KL.
<1%
28°C
$452 KL.
1%
29°C
$700 KL.
6%
30°C
$855 KL.
17%
31°C
$838 KL.
40%
32°C
$1,582 KL.
28%
33°C
$195 KL.
9%
34°C
$259 KL.
4%
35°C
$202 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$261 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate showers and cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures on August 14, positioning 31°C and 32°C as the market-implied leaders amid typical August climatology of 31–32°C daily highs. Seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal readings through October, consistent with observed mean maximums near 32.7°C so far this month and a recent 36.9°C spike on August 9 under very hot conditions. Potential steering influences from regional tropical systems and elevated humidity could sustain heat if convection weakens, while increased rainfall probability favors slightly lower maxima by limiting solar heating. Updated local forecasts and observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,898Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate showers and cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures on August 14, positioning 31°C and 32°C as the market-implied leaders amid typical August climatology of 31–32°C daily highs. Seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal readings through October, consistent with observed mean maximums near 32.7°C so far this month and a recent 36.9°C spike on August 9 under very hot conditions. Potential steering influences from regional tropical systems and elevated humidity could sustain heat if convection weakens, while increased rainfall probability favors slightly lower maxima by limiting solar heating. Updated local forecasts and observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$5,898Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate showers and cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures on August 14, positioning 31°C and 32°C as the market-implied leaders amid typical August climatology of 31–32°C daily highs. Seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal readings through October, consistent with observed mean maximums near 32.7°C so far this month and a recent 36.9°C spike on August 9 under very hot conditions. Potential steering influences from regional tropical systems and elevated humidity could sustain heat if convection weakens, while increased rainfall probability favors slightly lower maxima by limiting solar heating. Updated local forecasts and observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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