Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to peak highs in Wuhan near 29–30°C on August 12, driven by lingering subtropical monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme daytime heating. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes: 29°C reflects consensus on typical late-summer stabilization, while 30°C gains support if subsidence strengthens slightly or insolation increases; 28°C edges in with greater cloudiness or rainfall. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, yet recent model runs show modest cooling from prior weeks. Traders weigh ensemble spread and short-range updates expected before resolution, underscoring forecast uncertainty in humid, variable monsoon regimes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 12?
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
29%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$852 KL.
4%
27°C
$688 KL.
8%
28°C
$3,468 KL.
20%
29°C
$659 KL.
29%
30°C
$601 KL.
24%
31°C
$497 KL.
9%
32°C
$709 KL.
4%
33°C
$566 KL.
2%
34°C
$189 KL.
<1%
35°C
$81 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$124 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to peak highs in Wuhan near 29–30°C on August 12, driven by lingering subtropical monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme daytime heating. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes: 29°C reflects consensus on typical late-summer stabilization, while 30°C gains support if subsidence strengthens slightly or insolation increases; 28°C edges in with greater cloudiness or rainfall. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, yet recent model runs show modest cooling from prior weeks. Traders weigh ensemble spread and short-range updates expected before resolution, underscoring forecast uncertainty in humid, variable monsoon regimes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,433Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to peak highs in Wuhan near 29–30°C on August 12, driven by lingering subtropical monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme daytime heating. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes: 29°C reflects consensus on typical late-summer stabilization, while 30°C gains support if subsidence strengthens slightly or insolation increases; 28°C edges in with greater cloudiness or rainfall. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, yet recent model runs show modest cooling from prior weeks. Traders weigh ensemble spread and short-range updates expected before resolution, underscoring forecast uncertainty in humid, variable monsoon regimes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,433Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to peak highs in Wuhan near 29–30°C on August 12, driven by lingering subtropical monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme daytime heating. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes: 29°C reflects consensus on typical late-summer stabilization, while 30°C gains support if subsidence strengthens slightly or insolation increases; 28°C edges in with greater cloudiness or rainfall. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, yet recent model runs show modest cooling from prior weeks. Traders weigh ensemble spread and short-range updates expected before resolution, underscoring forecast uncertainty in humid, variable monsoon regimes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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