Traders see 32–33°C as the most likely peak temperature in Karachi on August 12 because recent forecast model runs show daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 32–34°C under typical monsoon conditions. Differentiating factors include variable monsoon trough positioning, which can increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger daytime warming, combined with the strength of the sea breeze and humidity levels that moderate or amplify the urban heat island effect. Short-range ensembles currently cluster around these values with modest spread, and updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the daily maximum is observed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on August 12?
33°C 42%
32°C 30%
31°C 10%
34°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
30%
33°C
42%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 30%
31°C 10%
34°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
30%
33°C
42%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 32–33°C as the most likely peak temperature in Karachi on August 12 because recent forecast model runs show daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 32–34°C under typical monsoon conditions. Differentiating factors include variable monsoon trough positioning, which can increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger daytime warming, combined with the strength of the sea breeze and humidity levels that moderate or amplify the urban heat island effect. Short-range ensembles currently cluster around these values with modest spread, and updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the daily maximum is observed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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