Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures in Busan reaching 30–32°C on August 12, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds. Typical mid-August conditions feature warm, humid air masses influenced by the East Asian summer monsoon, with sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait moderating daytime highs while urban heat island effects in the city amplify peaks. Differentiating factors among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes include variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection that can shift maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Short-range ensemble models show moderate spread due to evolving synoptic patterns, with updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours to refine resolution criteria around daily maximum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 12?
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 17%
29°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
29%
31°C
38%
32°C
17%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 17%
29°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
$435 KL.
<1%
26°C
$200 KL.
<1%
27°C
$497 KL.
1%
28°C
$429 KL.
3%
29°C
$521 KL.
6%
30°C
$2,224 KL.
29%
31°C
$956 KL.
38%
32°C
$835 KL.
17%
33°C
$413 KL.
6%
34°C
$234 KL.
2%
35°C or higher
$253 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures in Busan reaching 30–32°C on August 12, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds. Typical mid-August conditions feature warm, humid air masses influenced by the East Asian summer monsoon, with sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait moderating daytime highs while urban heat island effects in the city amplify peaks. Differentiating factors among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes include variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection that can shift maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Short-range ensemble models show moderate spread due to evolving synoptic patterns, with updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours to refine resolution criteria around daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,998Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures in Busan reaching 30–32°C on August 12, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds. Typical mid-August conditions feature warm, humid air masses influenced by the East Asian summer monsoon, with sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait moderating daytime highs while urban heat island effects in the city amplify peaks. Differentiating factors among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes include variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection that can shift maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Short-range ensemble models show moderate spread due to evolving synoptic patterns, with updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours to refine resolution criteria around daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,998Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures in Busan reaching 30–32°C on August 12, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds. Typical mid-August conditions feature warm, humid air masses influenced by the East Asian summer monsoon, with sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait moderating daytime highs while urban heat island effects in the city amplify peaks. Differentiating factors among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes include variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection that can shift maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Short-range ensemble models show moderate spread due to evolving synoptic patterns, with updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours to refine resolution criteria around daily maximum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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