Traders favor 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s August 12 minimum temperature, reflecting current forecast guidance showing overnight lows in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid persistent humid subtropical conditions. Recent model runs indicate moderating effects from light rain and cloud cover expected that night, which typically prevents radiational cooling below seasonal baselines near 25°C. With August averages historically around 25–26°C and no strong cold advection or typhoon influence projected in the short term, the distribution clusters tightly; updates from official meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities as steering patterns and humidity levels become clearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
27°C 51%
26°C 33%
28°C 11%
24°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
33%
27°C
51%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 33%
28°C 11%
24°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
21°C or below
$42 KL.
<1%
22°C
$34 KL.
<1%
23°C
$16 KL.
3%
24°C
$41 KL.
5%
25°C
$10 KL.
5%
26°C
$10 KL.
33%
27°C
$30 KL.
51%
28°C
$11 KL.
11%
29°C
$11 KL.
5%
30°C
$28 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$32 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s August 12 minimum temperature, reflecting current forecast guidance showing overnight lows in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid persistent humid subtropical conditions. Recent model runs indicate moderating effects from light rain and cloud cover expected that night, which typically prevents radiational cooling below seasonal baselines near 25°C. With August averages historically around 25–26°C and no strong cold advection or typhoon influence projected in the short term, the distribution clusters tightly; updates from official meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities as steering patterns and humidity levels become clearer.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$265Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s August 12 minimum temperature, reflecting current forecast guidance showing overnight lows in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid persistent humid subtropical conditions. Recent model runs indicate moderating effects from light rain and cloud cover expected that night, which typically prevents radiational cooling below seasonal baselines near 25°C. With August averages historically around 25–26°C and no strong cold advection or typhoon influence projected in the short term, the distribution clusters tightly; updates from official meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities as steering patterns and humidity levels become clearer.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$265Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s August 12 minimum temperature, reflecting current forecast guidance showing overnight lows in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid persistent humid subtropical conditions. Recent model runs indicate moderating effects from light rain and cloud cover expected that night, which typically prevents radiational cooling below seasonal baselines near 25°C. With August averages historically around 25–26°C and no strong cold advection or typhoon influence projected in the short term, the distribution clusters tightly; updates from official meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities as steering patterns and humidity levels become clearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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