Recent model consensus and official guidance from MetService and NIWA point to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 10, driven by mild northerly flow ahead of a weakening front and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. These conditions favor daytime highs near the August climatological normal of 13–14°C, with limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and showers. The 14°C outcome leads at 48.5% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 13°C holds 33% amid minor model spread on frontal timing; warmer 15°C or higher remains possible only if winds strengthen more than expected. Updated forecasts issued on August 9 will be the key near-term catalyst for any repricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 10?
14°C 49%
13°C 34%
15°C 16%
12°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
6%
13°C
34%
14°C
49%
15°C
16%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
14°C 49%
13°C 34%
15°C 16%
12°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
$357 KL.
<1%
8°C
$199 KL.
<1%
9°C
$435 KL.
<1%
10°C
$5 KL.
2%
11°C
$28 KL.
2%
12°C
$154 KL.
6%
13°C
$446 KL.
34%
14°C
$274 KL.
49%
15°C
$502 KL.
16%
16°C
$28 KL.
2%
17°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from MetService and NIWA point to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 10, driven by mild northerly flow ahead of a weakening front and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. These conditions favor daytime highs near the August climatological normal of 13–14°C, with limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and showers. The 14°C outcome leads at 48.5% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 13°C holds 33% amid minor model spread on frontal timing; warmer 15°C or higher remains possible only if winds strengthen more than expected. Updated forecasts issued on August 9 will be the key near-term catalyst for any repricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,433Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from MetService and NIWA point to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 10, driven by mild northerly flow ahead of a weakening front and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. These conditions favor daytime highs near the August climatological normal of 13–14°C, with limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and showers. The 14°C outcome leads at 48.5% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 13°C holds 33% amid minor model spread on frontal timing; warmer 15°C or higher remains possible only if winds strengthen more than expected. Updated forecasts issued on August 9 will be the key near-term catalyst for any repricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,433Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance from MetService and NIWA point to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 10, driven by mild northerly flow ahead of a weakening front and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. These conditions favor daytime highs near the August climatological normal of 13–14°C, with limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and showers. The 14°C outcome leads at 48.5% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 13°C holds 33% amid minor model spread on frontal timing; warmer 15°C or higher remains possible only if winds strengthen more than expected. Updated forecasts issued on August 9 will be the key near-term catalyst for any repricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp