Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor a highest temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on August 14, aligning with the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from a passing frontal system or residual moisture are key variables capping daytime maxima, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow urban heat island effects and solar heating to push readings to 31°C or higher. Historical mid-August baselines average near 31°C, but 2026 conditions reflect typical late-summer variability where humidity, wind shifts, and precipitation timing create narrow uncertainty bands. Updated short-range guidance from Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
19%
29°C
40%
30°C
30%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
$73 KL.
1%
25°C
$5 KL.
1%
26°C
$5 KL.
1%
27°C
$191 KL.
5%
28°C
$67 KL.
19%
29°C
$398 KL.
40%
30°C
$10 KL.
30%
31°C
$107 KL.
9%
32°C
$54 KL.
2%
33°C
$12 KL.
3%
34°C or higher
$213 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor a highest temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on August 14, aligning with the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from a passing frontal system or residual moisture are key variables capping daytime maxima, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow urban heat island effects and solar heating to push readings to 31°C or higher. Historical mid-August baselines average near 31°C, but 2026 conditions reflect typical late-summer variability where humidity, wind shifts, and precipitation timing create narrow uncertainty bands. Updated short-range guidance from Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,134Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor a highest temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on August 14, aligning with the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from a passing frontal system or residual moisture are key variables capping daytime maxima, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow urban heat island effects and solar heating to push readings to 31°C or higher. Historical mid-August baselines average near 31°C, but 2026 conditions reflect typical late-summer variability where humidity, wind shifts, and precipitation timing create narrow uncertainty bands. Updated short-range guidance from Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,134Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor a highest temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on August 14, aligning with the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from a passing frontal system or residual moisture are key variables capping daytime maxima, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow urban heat island effects and solar heating to push readings to 31°C or higher. Historical mid-August baselines average near 31°C, but 2026 conditions reflect typical late-summer variability where humidity, wind shifts, and precipitation timing create narrow uncertainty bands. Updated short-range guidance from Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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