Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate stabilizing conditions over Cape Town after a period of unsettled winter weather, with the 15–16 August period expected to feature typical seasonal patterns under a developing high-pressure influence. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20 °C because these values align closely with the long-term August mean maximum of roughly 18 °C, modulated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent marine air advection. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as the precise timing of any residual cold front passage, low-level cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and wind shifts between onshore flow and lighter katabatic drainage; clearer skies or brief offshore berg-wind episodes could nudge readings toward 20–21 °C, while increased stratiform cloud or stronger westerlies would favor 17–18 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 16?
18°C 45%
19°C 28%
20°C 22%
17°C 11%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
22%
21°C
10%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 45%
19°C 28%
20°C 22%
17°C 11%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
22%
21°C
10%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate stabilizing conditions over Cape Town after a period of unsettled winter weather, with the 15–16 August period expected to feature typical seasonal patterns under a developing high-pressure influence. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20 °C because these values align closely with the long-term August mean maximum of roughly 18 °C, modulated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent marine air advection. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as the precise timing of any residual cold front passage, low-level cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and wind shifts between onshore flow and lighter katabatic drainage; clearer skies or brief offshore berg-wind episodes could nudge readings toward 20–21 °C, while increased stratiform cloud or stronger westerlies would favor 17–18 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp