Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 16 place daytime highs near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels and the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or higher. Post-Liqiu cooling has begun after early-August peaks, with average August maxima near 31 °C and a gradual seasonal decline underway. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms common in the East Asian monsoon regime can cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while drier, sunnier conditions would allow readings to reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Model consensus currently favors modest moisture and light steering flow, keeping outcomes below extreme heat thresholds and sustaining the balanced trader probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 16?
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C or higher 25%
32°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
31%
32°C
18%
33°C or higher
18%
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C or higher 25%
32°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$20 KL.
<1%
24°C
$15 KL.
<1%
25°C
$10 KL.
<1%
26°C
$215 KL.
1%
27°C
$11 KL.
5%
28°C
$0 KL.
12%
29°C
$1 KL.
16%
30°C
$5 KL.
29%
31°C
$36 KL.
31%
32°C
$13 KL.
18%
33°C or higher
$104 KL.
18%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 16 place daytime highs near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels and the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or higher. Post-Liqiu cooling has begun after early-August peaks, with average August maxima near 31 °C and a gradual seasonal decline underway. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms common in the East Asian monsoon regime can cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while drier, sunnier conditions would allow readings to reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Model consensus currently favors modest moisture and light steering flow, keeping outcomes below extreme heat thresholds and sustaining the balanced trader probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$409Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 16 place daytime highs near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels and the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or higher. Post-Liqiu cooling has begun after early-August peaks, with average August maxima near 31 °C and a gradual seasonal decline underway. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms common in the East Asian monsoon regime can cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while drier, sunnier conditions would allow readings to reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Model consensus currently favors modest moisture and light steering flow, keeping outcomes below extreme heat thresholds and sustaining the balanced trader probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$409Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 16 place daytime highs near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels and the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or higher. Post-Liqiu cooling has begun after early-August peaks, with average August maxima near 31 °C and a gradual seasonal decline underway. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms common in the East Asian monsoon regime can cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while drier, sunnier conditions would allow readings to reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Model consensus currently favors modest moisture and light steering flow, keeping outcomes below extreme heat thresholds and sustaining the balanced trader probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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