Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 6 points to persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and scattered thunderstorms limiting overnight radiational cooling, supporting a low in the upper 70s. This aligns with the market’s leading 78-79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability, followed closely by 76-77°F. Early September 2026 observations show similar overnight minima in the mid-to-upper 70s amid above-average warmth and humidity, consistent with the 74.6°F climatological average for the date. Traders appear to discount stronger cooling scenarios, as no significant frontal passage is expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Houston on September 6?
70-71°F 48%
82-83°F 48%
69°F or below 45%
72-73°F 45%
69°F or below
45%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
45%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
43%
70-71°F 48%
82-83°F 48%
69°F or below 45%
72-73°F 45%
69°F or below
45%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
45%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 6 points to persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and scattered thunderstorms limiting overnight radiational cooling, supporting a low in the upper 70s. This aligns with the market’s leading 78-79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability, followed closely by 76-77°F. Early September 2026 observations show similar overnight minima in the mid-to-upper 70s amid above-average warmth and humidity, consistent with the 74.6°F climatological average for the date. Traders appear to discount stronger cooling scenarios, as no significant frontal passage is expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp