Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent warm, moist southerly flow under the influence of the South China Sea monsoon and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the late-summer climatological baseline of 24–25°C while current conditions show no strong cold-air intrusion or typhoon activity to push values significantly lower. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability on 25°C, incorporates typical model spread and historical variability around the 24.3°C average low. Official China Meteorological Administration station readings at resolution will confirm the exact value, with fresh model updates expected through the night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
20°C or below 53%
30°C or higher 53%
25°C 46%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
53%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
24%
25°C
46%
26°C
24%
27°C
39%
28°C
17%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
53%
20°C or below 53%
30°C or higher 53%
25°C 46%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$0 KL.
53%
21°C
$0 KL.
13%
22°C
$0 KL.
39%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
24%
25°C
$12 KL.
46%
26°C
$0 KL.
24%
27°C
$0 KL.
39%
28°C
$0 KL.
17%
29°C
$0 KL.
13%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent warm, moist southerly flow under the influence of the South China Sea monsoon and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the late-summer climatological baseline of 24–25°C while current conditions show no strong cold-air intrusion or typhoon activity to push values significantly lower. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability on 25°C, incorporates typical model spread and historical variability around the 24.3°C average low. Official China Meteorological Administration station readings at resolution will confirm the exact value, with fresh model updates expected through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent warm, moist southerly flow under the influence of the South China Sea monsoon and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the late-summer climatological baseline of 24–25°C while current conditions show no strong cold-air intrusion or typhoon activity to push values significantly lower. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability on 25°C, incorporates typical model spread and historical variability around the 24.3°C average low. Official China Meteorological Administration station readings at resolution will confirm the exact value, with fresh model updates expected through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent warm, moist southerly flow under the influence of the South China Sea monsoon and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the late-summer climatological baseline of 24–25°C while current conditions show no strong cold-air intrusion or typhoon activity to push values significantly lower. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability on 25°C, incorporates typical model spread and historical variability around the 24.3°C average low. Official China Meteorological Administration station readings at resolution will confirm the exact value, with fresh model updates expected through the night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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