Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the city's inland plateau, where low humidity and calm conditions allow surface temperatures to drop close to seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split among mid-teens outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speeds or residual cloud cover can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the elevated probability for 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty around any unexpected warm advection. Updated model runs tonight will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
20°C or higher 89%
14°C 50%
18°C 47%
19°C 46%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
-
11°C
23%
12°C
24%
13°C
27%
14°C
36%
15°C
28%
16°C
24%
17°C
45%
18°C
47%
19°C
46%
20°C or higher
89%
20°C or higher 89%
14°C 50%
18°C 47%
19°C 46%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$4 KL.
-
11°C
$8 KL.
23%
12°C
$0 KL.
24%
13°C
$0 KL.
27%
14°C
$6 KL.
36%
15°C
$0 KL.
28%
16°C
$0 KL.
24%
17°C
$0 KL.
45%
18°C
$0 KL.
47%
19°C
$0 KL.
46%
20°C or higher
$0 KL.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the city's inland plateau, where low humidity and calm conditions allow surface temperatures to drop close to seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split among mid-teens outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speeds or residual cloud cover can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the elevated probability for 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty around any unexpected warm advection. Updated model runs tonight will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the city's inland plateau, where low humidity and calm conditions allow surface temperatures to drop close to seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split among mid-teens outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speeds or residual cloud cover can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the elevated probability for 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty around any unexpected warm advection. Updated model runs tonight will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$18Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies and light northerly winds. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the city's inland plateau, where low humidity and calm conditions allow surface temperatures to drop close to seasonal averages of 13–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split among mid-teens outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speeds or residual cloud cover can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the elevated probability for 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty around any unexpected warm advection. Updated model runs tonight will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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