The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.7% amid a federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%, reflects trader focus on persistent core inflation above the Fed's 2% target and a resilient labor market that has limited expectations for policy easing. Recent CPI and PCE releases have shown mixed cooling, with some monthly declines but annual readings still elevated, reinforcing market-implied odds for a potential December hike or extended pause. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August employment data, and further inflation reports, which could shift yields if growth or price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal deficits and supply dynamics also contribute to the range-bound but upward-biased outlook through 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$286,206 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
69%
5.0%
31%
5.2%
6%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
6%
$286,206 KL.
4.8%
$59,319 KL.
69%
5.0%
$81,173 KL.
31%
5.2%
$26,278 KL.
6%
5.5%
$5,832 KL.
7%
5.7%
$4,234 KL.
6%
6.0%
$3,084 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.7% amid a federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%, reflects trader focus on persistent core inflation above the Fed's 2% target and a resilient labor market that has limited expectations for policy easing. Recent CPI and PCE releases have shown mixed cooling, with some monthly declines but annual readings still elevated, reinforcing market-implied odds for a potential December hike or extended pause. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August employment data, and further inflation reports, which could shift yields if growth or price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal deficits and supply dynamics also contribute to the range-bound but upward-biased outlook through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$286,206Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.7% amid a federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%, reflects trader focus on persistent core inflation above the Fed's 2% target and a resilient labor market that has limited expectations for policy easing. Recent CPI and PCE releases have shown mixed cooling, with some monthly declines but annual readings still elevated, reinforcing market-implied odds for a potential December hike or extended pause. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August employment data, and further inflation reports, which could shift yields if growth or price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal deficits and supply dynamics also contribute to the range-bound but upward-biased outlook through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Khối lượng
$286,206Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.7% amid a federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%, reflects trader focus on persistent core inflation above the Fed's 2% target and a resilient labor market that has limited expectations for policy easing. Recent CPI and PCE releases have shown mixed cooling, with some monthly declines but annual readings still elevated, reinforcing market-implied odds for a potential December hike or extended pause. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August employment data, and further inflation reports, which could shift yields if growth or price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal deficits and supply dynamics also contribute to the range-bound but upward-biased outlook through 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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