**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese weather services and international providers like Yr, project a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds, typical humidity around 70-80%, and only isolated light rain or thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daytime peaks commonly reach the low 30s°C before the more active rainy season intensifies. Current station readings approaching 31°C during midday further reinforce the market-implied odds near 99.5%. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require either persistent heavy cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak below 31°C, or an unexpected late surge pushing the official maximum to 32°C or higher—outcomes that remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and model consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$38,493 KL.
$38,493 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$38,493 KL.
$38,493 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
$541 KL.
<1%
24°C
$305 KL.
<1%
25°C
$382 KL.
<1%
26°C
$401 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,080 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,453 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,483 KL.
<1%
30°C
$9,426 KL.
<1%
31°C
$8,854 KL.
99%
32°C
$6,934 KL.
1%
33°C or higher
$7,879 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese weather services and international providers like Yr, project a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds, typical humidity around 70-80%, and only isolated light rain or thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daytime peaks commonly reach the low 30s°C before the more active rainy season intensifies.
Current station readings approaching 31°C during midday further reinforce the market-implied odds near 99.5%. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require either persistent heavy cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak below 31°C, or an unexpected late surge pushing the official maximum to 32°C or higher—outcomes that remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38,493Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese weather services and international providers like Yr, project a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds, typical humidity around 70-80%, and only isolated light rain or thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daytime peaks commonly reach the low 30s°C before the more active rainy season intensifies.
Current station readings approaching 31°C during midday further reinforce the market-implied odds near 99.5%. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require either persistent heavy cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak below 31°C, or an unexpected late surge pushing the official maximum to 32°C or higher—outcomes that remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$38,493Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese weather services and international providers like Yr, project a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds, typical humidity around 70-80%, and only isolated light rain or thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daytime peaks commonly reach the low 30s°C before the more active rainy season intensifies. Current station readings approaching 31°C during midday further reinforce the market-implied odds near 99.5%. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require either persistent heavy cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak below 31°C, or an unexpected late surge pushing the official maximum to 32°C or higher—outcomes that remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and model consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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