Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and 20% precipitation chances for Incheon/Seoul on August 16, supporting daytime maxima near 32–33°C that are likely moderated by humidity and limited insolation to produce observed highs clustered around 28–30°C. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where regional averages range 29–31°C before late-summer cooling trends, following the early-August heatwave that briefly pushed extremes above 36°C but has since eased. Trader sentiment reflected in the 38% probability on 29°C and secondary support for 28°C and 30°C captures these variables, with resolution depending on final official station readings rather than forecast peaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
29°C 38%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
27°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
38%
30°C
21%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 38%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
27°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
38%
30°C
21%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and 20% precipitation chances for Incheon/Seoul on August 16, supporting daytime maxima near 32–33°C that are likely moderated by humidity and limited insolation to produce observed highs clustered around 28–30°C. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where regional averages range 29–31°C before late-summer cooling trends, following the early-August heatwave that briefly pushed extremes above 36°C but has since eased. Trader sentiment reflected in the 38% probability on 29°C and secondary support for 28°C and 30°C captures these variables, with resolution depending on final official station readings rather than forecast peaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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