Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly sea breezes from the Yellow Sea, and limited solar insolation are the primary factors capping daytime heating and positioning 33°C as the modal outcome. Subtropical monsoon flow sustains moisture and prevents stronger warming, while any breaks in cloudiness or shifts in wind could allow brief excursions to 34°C. These dynamics align with trader consensus reflected in the leading probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 18?
33°C 46%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 7%
MỚI
$11,243 KL.
MỚI
$11,243 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
46%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 7%
MỚI
$11,243 KL.
MỚI
$11,243 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$277 KL.
<1%
28°C
$182 KL.
<1%
29°C
$821 KL.
<1%
30°C
$494 KL.
1%
31°C
$1,297 KL.
7%
32°C
$865 KL.
25%
33°C
$2,862 KL.
46%
34°C
$1,571 KL.
27%
35°C
$864 KL.
4%
36°C
$1,430 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$580 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly sea breezes from the Yellow Sea, and limited solar insolation are the primary factors capping daytime heating and positioning 33°C as the modal outcome. Subtropical monsoon flow sustains moisture and prevents stronger warming, while any breaks in cloudiness or shifts in wind could allow brief excursions to 34°C. These dynamics align with trader consensus reflected in the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,243Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly sea breezes from the Yellow Sea, and limited solar insolation are the primary factors capping daytime heating and positioning 33°C as the modal outcome. Subtropical monsoon flow sustains moisture and prevents stronger warming, while any breaks in cloudiness or shifts in wind could allow brief excursions to 34°C. These dynamics align with trader consensus reflected in the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,243Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly sea breezes from the Yellow Sea, and limited solar insolation are the primary factors capping daytime heating and positioning 33°C as the modal outcome. Subtropical monsoon flow sustains moisture and prevents stronger warming, while any breaks in cloudiness or shifts in wind could allow brief excursions to 34°C. These dynamics align with trader consensus reflected in the leading probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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