Current forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Paris highs near 31–32°C on August 4, driven by persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with limited daytime mixing. Minor model spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest 48 hours out, while probabilities drop sharply above 34°C or below 30°C given the absence of stronger heat advection or significant cooling mechanisms in the latest runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 4?
32°C 35%
31°C 26%
33°C 22%
34°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
26%
32°C
35%
33°C
22%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 26%
33°C 22%
34°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$186 KL.
3%
30°C
$31 KL.
8%
31°C
$55 KL.
26%
32°C
$246 KL.
35%
33°C
$59 KL.
22%
34°C
$75 KL.
9%
35°C
$142 KL.
2%
36°C
$36 KL.
1%
37°C
$16 KL.
<1%
38°C
$16 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$46 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Paris highs near 31–32°C on August 4, driven by persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with limited daytime mixing. Minor model spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest 48 hours out, while probabilities drop sharply above 34°C or below 30°C given the absence of stronger heat advection or significant cooling mechanisms in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$908Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Paris highs near 31–32°C on August 4, driven by persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with limited daytime mixing. Minor model spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest 48 hours out, while probabilities drop sharply above 34°C or below 30°C given the absence of stronger heat advection or significant cooling mechanisms in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$908Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Paris highs near 31–32°C on August 4, driven by persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with limited daytime mixing. Minor model spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest 48 hours out, while probabilities drop sharply above 34°C or below 30°C given the absence of stronger heat advection or significant cooling mechanisms in the latest runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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