Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila on August 6 project daily highs of 31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with rain chances of 20–90% that favor cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions limit solar heating and often cap temperatures 1–3°C below clear-sky potential, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28–30°C. Lingering moisture and possible residual effects from nearby systems like Tropical Cyclone Luis further enhance convective activity, increasing the likelihood of afternoon thunderstorms that moderate peak readings. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but persistent monsoon patterns this season have frequently produced slightly lower observed maxima. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 6?
29°C 29%
30°C 27%
28°C 22%
31°C 15%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
27%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 27%
28°C 22%
31°C 15%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
27%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila on August 6 project daily highs of 31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with rain chances of 20–90% that favor cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions limit solar heating and often cap temperatures 1–3°C below clear-sky potential, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28–30°C. Lingering moisture and possible residual effects from nearby systems like Tropical Cyclone Luis further enhance convective activity, increasing the likelihood of afternoon thunderstorms that moderate peak readings. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but persistent monsoon patterns this season have frequently produced slightly lower observed maxima. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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