Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring trader expectations around a 76–77°F high at the Los Angeles official station on August 4, 2026, with the 74–75°F bin as the next most favored outcome. National Weather Service guidance and recent ensemble runs highlight this typical early-August coastal pattern, where stratus and sea breezes limit daytime warming despite broader regional warmth. Historical climatology shows August coastal highs averaging near 75–78°F under similar conditions, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow modest inland heating toward the lower-probability 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these implied probabilities through the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 2.8%
MỚI
$28,473 KL.
MỚI
$28,473 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 2.8%
MỚI
$28,473 KL.
MỚI
$28,473 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
$731 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,154 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,350 KL.
3%
74-75°F
$6,954 KL.
31%
76-77°F
$5,258 KL.
55%
78-79°F
$4,566 KL.
13%
80-81°F
$3,298 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$332 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$396 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$217 KL.
<1%
88°F or higher
$217 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring trader expectations around a 76–77°F high at the Los Angeles official station on August 4, 2026, with the 74–75°F bin as the next most favored outcome. National Weather Service guidance and recent ensemble runs highlight this typical early-August coastal pattern, where stratus and sea breezes limit daytime warming despite broader regional warmth. Historical climatology shows August coastal highs averaging near 75–78°F under similar conditions, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow modest inland heating toward the lower-probability 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these implied probabilities through the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,473Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring trader expectations around a 76–77°F high at the Los Angeles official station on August 4, 2026, with the 74–75°F bin as the next most favored outcome. National Weather Service guidance and recent ensemble runs highlight this typical early-August coastal pattern, where stratus and sea breezes limit daytime warming despite broader regional warmth. Historical climatology shows August coastal highs averaging near 75–78°F under similar conditions, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow modest inland heating toward the lower-probability 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these implied probabilities through the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$28,473Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring trader expectations around a 76–77°F high at the Los Angeles official station on August 4, 2026, with the 74–75°F bin as the next most favored outcome. National Weather Service guidance and recent ensemble runs highlight this typical early-August coastal pattern, where stratus and sea breezes limit daytime warming despite broader regional warmth. Historical climatology shows August coastal highs averaging near 75–78°F under similar conditions, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow modest inland heating toward the lower-probability 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these implied probabilities through the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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