**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s daily maximum on August 14, 2026, at 100% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the city’s continental climate during peak summer, when average August highs typically reach 30–32°C and frequently exceed 35°C. Current observational data and short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate daytime peaks of 30–34°C under mostly overcast or thundery conditions, consistent with an active heat pattern across Shandong province that has included orange high-temperature warnings and readings above 35°C in nearby areas. Historical analogs and model consensus reinforce that values below 26°C would require an unseasonal cold surge, which current atmospheric steering patterns and sea-level pressure fields make highly improbable. Resolution hinges on official station measurements; only an unexpected measurement revision or localized anomaly could alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$8,903 KL.
$8,903 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$8,903 KL.
$8,903 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$273 KL.
<1%
17°C
$509 KL.
<1%
18°C
$492 KL.
<1%
19°C
$802 KL.
<1%
20°C
$482 KL.
<1%
21°C
$453 KL.
<1%
22°C
$603 KL.
<1%
23°C
$393 KL.
<1%
24°C
$992 KL.
<1%
25°C
$162 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$3,742 KL.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s daily maximum on August 14, 2026, at 100% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the city’s continental climate during peak summer, when average August highs typically reach 30–32°C and frequently exceed 35°C. Current observational data and short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate daytime peaks of 30–34°C under mostly overcast or thundery conditions, consistent with an active heat pattern across Shandong province that has included orange high-temperature warnings and readings above 35°C in nearby areas. Historical analogs and model consensus reinforce that values below 26°C would require an unseasonal cold surge, which current atmospheric steering patterns and sea-level pressure fields make highly improbable. Resolution hinges on official station measurements; only an unexpected measurement revision or localized anomaly could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,903Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s daily maximum on August 14, 2026, at 100% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the city’s continental climate during peak summer, when average August highs typically reach 30–32°C and frequently exceed 35°C. Current observational data and short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate daytime peaks of 30–34°C under mostly overcast or thundery conditions, consistent with an active heat pattern across Shandong province that has included orange high-temperature warnings and readings above 35°C in nearby areas. Historical analogs and model consensus reinforce that values below 26°C would require an unseasonal cold surge, which current atmospheric steering patterns and sea-level pressure fields make highly improbable. Resolution hinges on official station measurements; only an unexpected measurement revision or localized anomaly could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,903Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s daily maximum on August 14, 2026, at 100% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the city’s continental climate during peak summer, when average August highs typically reach 30–32°C and frequently exceed 35°C. Current observational data and short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate daytime peaks of 30–34°C under mostly overcast or thundery conditions, consistent with an active heat pattern across Shandong province that has included orange high-temperature warnings and readings above 35°C in nearby areas. Historical analogs and model consensus reinforce that values below 26°C would require an unseasonal cold surge, which current atmospheric steering patterns and sea-level pressure fields make highly improbable. Resolution hinges on official station measurements; only an unexpected measurement revision or localized anomaly could alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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