Forecast models for Jeddah on August 18 show a narrow spread of projected daily maxima between roughly 38°C and 41°C, with official guidance favoring near 41°C under mostly sunny conditions and moderate northwesterly winds while other runs trend lower. This model disagreement, set against a broader pattern of above-average summer temperatures across Saudi Arabia, produces the tight market split between 39°C and 40°C or higher. Coastal humidity, Red Sea sea-breeze timing, and limited cloud cover remain key variables that can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C on any given day, explaining why traders assign meaningful probability to outcomes on either side of the 40°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 18?
40°C or higher 42%
39°C 40%
38°C 16%
37°C 3%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
16%
39°C
40%
40°C or higher
42%
40°C or higher 42%
39°C 40%
38°C 16%
37°C 3%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
16%
39°C
40%
40°C or higher
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Jeddah on August 18 show a narrow spread of projected daily maxima between roughly 38°C and 41°C, with official guidance favoring near 41°C under mostly sunny conditions and moderate northwesterly winds while other runs trend lower. This model disagreement, set against a broader pattern of above-average summer temperatures across Saudi Arabia, produces the tight market split between 39°C and 40°C or higher. Coastal humidity, Red Sea sea-breeze timing, and limited cloud cover remain key variables that can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C on any given day, explaining why traders assign meaningful probability to outcomes on either side of the 40°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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