National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Houston on August 17, 2026, center on a daily high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the market's 95% implied probability for the 96–97°F bin at William P. Hobby Airport. Typical August climatology in the region features highs averaging 93–95°F, with current conditions showing minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress temperatures. Heat indices will exceed actual air temperatures, but resolution hinges on the official maximum dry-bulb reading. Unexpected increases in afternoon convection or measurement variations at the station could shift the outcome toward 98–99°F, though model agreement remains tight into the afternoon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 17?
96-97°F 95%
98-99°F 5%
100-101°F 1.0%
89°F or below <1%
$36,628 KL.
$36,628 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
95%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 95%
98-99°F 5%
100-101°F 1.0%
89°F or below <1%
$36,628 KL.
$36,628 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
89°F or below
$341 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$530 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,228 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$7,439 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$9,628 KL.
95%
98-99°F
$11,726 KL.
5%
100-101°F
$1,721 KL.
1%
102-103°F
$285 KL.
<1%
104-105°F
$251 KL.
<1%
106-107°F
$290 KL.
<1%
108°F or higher
$250 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Houston on August 17, 2026, center on a daily high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the market's 95% implied probability for the 96–97°F bin at William P. Hobby Airport. Typical August climatology in the region features highs averaging 93–95°F, with current conditions showing minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress temperatures. Heat indices will exceed actual air temperatures, but resolution hinges on the official maximum dry-bulb reading. Unexpected increases in afternoon convection or measurement variations at the station could shift the outcome toward 98–99°F, though model agreement remains tight into the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$36,628Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Houston on August 17, 2026, center on a daily high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the market's 95% implied probability for the 96–97°F bin at William P. Hobby Airport. Typical August climatology in the region features highs averaging 93–95°F, with current conditions showing minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress temperatures. Heat indices will exceed actual air temperatures, but resolution hinges on the official maximum dry-bulb reading. Unexpected increases in afternoon convection or measurement variations at the station could shift the outcome toward 98–99°F, though model agreement remains tight into the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$36,628Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Houston on August 17, 2026, center on a daily high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the market's 95% implied probability for the 96–97°F bin at William P. Hobby Airport. Typical August climatology in the region features highs averaging 93–95°F, with current conditions showing minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress temperatures. Heat indices will exceed actual air temperatures, but resolution hinges on the official maximum dry-bulb reading. Unexpected increases in afternoon convection or measurement variations at the station could shift the outcome toward 98–99°F, though model agreement remains tight into the afternoon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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