Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to peak temperatures of 102–103°F in Austin on August 18 under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southerly flow. This setup has sustained multiple consecutive triple-digit days amid below-average rainfall, with recent runs holding steady near the 103°F mark rather than showing further intensification. Historical August averages near 95–100°F provide context, yet 2026’s persistent pattern has elevated expectations, aligning trader consensus with the 100–103°F range that accounts for over 90% of implied probability while leaving modest room for model revisions or localized cooling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 18?
102-103°F 56%
100-101°F 37%
104-105°F 5%
98-99°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
56%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 56%
100-101°F 37%
104-105°F 5%
98-99°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
93°F or below
$50 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$194 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$433 KL.
2%
98-99°F
$460 KL.
4%
100-101°F
$3,852 KL.
37%
102-103°F
$2,050 KL.
56%
104-105°F
$281 KL.
5%
106-107°F
$328 KL.
1%
108-109°F
$334 KL.
<1%
110-111°F
$213 KL.
<1%
112°F or higher
$185 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to peak temperatures of 102–103°F in Austin on August 18 under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southerly flow. This setup has sustained multiple consecutive triple-digit days amid below-average rainfall, with recent runs holding steady near the 103°F mark rather than showing further intensification. Historical August averages near 95–100°F provide context, yet 2026’s persistent pattern has elevated expectations, aligning trader consensus with the 100–103°F range that accounts for over 90% of implied probability while leaving modest room for model revisions or localized cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,380Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to peak temperatures of 102–103°F in Austin on August 18 under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southerly flow. This setup has sustained multiple consecutive triple-digit days amid below-average rainfall, with recent runs holding steady near the 103°F mark rather than showing further intensification. Historical August averages near 95–100°F provide context, yet 2026’s persistent pattern has elevated expectations, aligning trader consensus with the 100–103°F range that accounts for over 90% of implied probability while leaving modest room for model revisions or localized cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,380Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to peak temperatures of 102–103°F in Austin on August 18 under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southerly flow. This setup has sustained multiple consecutive triple-digit days amid below-average rainfall, with recent runs holding steady near the 103°F mark rather than showing further intensification. Historical August averages near 95–100°F provide context, yet 2026’s persistent pattern has elevated expectations, aligning trader consensus with the 100–103°F range that accounts for over 90% of implied probability while leaving modest room for model revisions or localized cooling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp