Recent forecasts from models and the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 31–33°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C and 32°C. Summer climatology in the region features high humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling while allowing daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with light rain expected to moderate peaks. The HKO seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate trends, supporting trader consensus around these values. Official daily guidance and any last-minute model updates on wind or cloud cover will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
31°C 44%
32°C 31%
33°C 14%
30°C 11%
MỚI
$31,391 KL.
MỚI
$31,391 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
44%
32°C
31%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
32°C 31%
33°C 14%
30°C 11%
MỚI
$31,391 KL.
MỚI
$31,391 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$1,505 KL.
<1%
28°C
$4,722 KL.
<1%
29°C
$4,750 KL.
3%
30°C
$3,376 KL.
11%
31°C
$4,122 KL.
44%
32°C
$2,624 KL.
31%
33°C
$3,605 KL.
14%
34°C
$4,224 KL.
3%
35°C
$1,176 KL.
<1%
36°C
$618 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$669 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from models and the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 31–33°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C and 32°C. Summer climatology in the region features high humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling while allowing daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with light rain expected to moderate peaks. The HKO seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate trends, supporting trader consensus around these values. Official daily guidance and any last-minute model updates on wind or cloud cover will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,391Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from models and the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 31–33°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C and 32°C. Summer climatology in the region features high humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling while allowing daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with light rain expected to moderate peaks. The HKO seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate trends, supporting trader consensus around these values. Official daily guidance and any last-minute model updates on wind or cloud cover will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$31,391Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 31–33°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C and 32°C. Summer climatology in the region features high humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling while allowing daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with light rain expected to moderate peaks. The HKO seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate trends, supporting trader consensus around these values. Official daily guidance and any last-minute model updates on wind or cloud cover will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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