Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 18°C for Helsinki on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market's 66.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mild early-September conditions, light northerly winds, and mostly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the 17–19°C range holding over 99% of trader-weighted probability. Historical averages near 17°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns support this tight clustering, with minimal model spread reducing upside or downside risks ahead of official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 5?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 5?
18°C 67%
17°C 21%
19°C 14%
16°C 2%
MỚI
$10,441 KL.
MỚI
$10,441 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
21%
18°C
67%
19°C
14%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 67%
17°C 21%
19°C 14%
16°C 2%
MỚI
$10,441 KL.
MỚI
$10,441 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$305 KL.
<1%
14°C
$229 KL.
<1%
15°C
$259 KL.
<1%
16°C
$699 KL.
2%
17°C
$2,673 KL.
21%
18°C
$2,965 KL.
67%
19°C
$1,242 KL.
14%
20°C
$774 KL.
<1%
21°C
$567 KL.
<1%
22°C
$625 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$145 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 18°C for Helsinki on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market's 66.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mild early-September conditions, light northerly winds, and mostly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the 17–19°C range holding over 99% of trader-weighted probability. Historical averages near 17°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns support this tight clustering, with minimal model spread reducing upside or downside risks ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,441Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 18°C for Helsinki on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market's 66.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mild early-September conditions, light northerly winds, and mostly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the 17–19°C range holding over 99% of trader-weighted probability. Historical averages near 17°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns support this tight clustering, with minimal model spread reducing upside or downside risks ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,441Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 18°C for Helsinki on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market's 66.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mild early-September conditions, light northerly winds, and mostly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the 17–19°C range holding over 99% of trader-weighted probability. Historical averages near 17°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns support this tight clustering, with minimal model spread reducing upside or downside risks ahead of official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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