Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's high on August 4 will likely reach the long-term climatological average of 83.7°F under mostly sunny skies and light winds, positioning the 82–85°F range as the market leader with combined implied probability near 70%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with no significant warm or cool advection expected to alter the typical mid-summer thermal setup. Historical data confirm early August highs rarely exceed 87°F or fall below 80°F without synoptic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow bins ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
84-85°F 48%
82-83°F 22%
86-87°F 22%
88-89°F 3%
MỚI
$16,722 KL.
MỚI
$16,722 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 48%
82-83°F 22%
86-87°F 22%
88-89°F 3%
MỚI
$16,722 KL.
MỚI
$16,722 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$533 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$476 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,300 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,499 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$2,919 KL.
22%
84-85°F
$2,447 KL.
48%
86-87°F
$1,491 KL.
22%
88-89°F
$2,152 KL.
3%
90-91°F
$1,670 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$593 KL.
<1%
94°F or higher
$643 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's high on August 4 will likely reach the long-term climatological average of 83.7°F under mostly sunny skies and light winds, positioning the 82–85°F range as the market leader with combined implied probability near 70%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with no significant warm or cool advection expected to alter the typical mid-summer thermal setup. Historical data confirm early August highs rarely exceed 87°F or fall below 80°F without synoptic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow bins ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,722Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's high on August 4 will likely reach the long-term climatological average of 83.7°F under mostly sunny skies and light winds, positioning the 82–85°F range as the market leader with combined implied probability near 70%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with no significant warm or cool advection expected to alter the typical mid-summer thermal setup. Historical data confirm early August highs rarely exceed 87°F or fall below 80°F without synoptic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow bins ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,722Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's high on August 4 will likely reach the long-term climatological average of 83.7°F under mostly sunny skies and light winds, positioning the 82–85°F range as the market leader with combined implied probability near 70%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with no significant warm or cool advection expected to alter the typical mid-summer thermal setup. Historical data confirm early August highs rarely exceed 87°F or fall below 80°F without synoptic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow bins ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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