Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most likely peak for Chengdu on September 5, with 34°C holding a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Official forecasts and model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly flow under regional high pressure, supporting daytime heating to the low-to-mid 30s Celsius after morning lows near 23–24°C. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing through the afternoon, with peak readings typically occurring 13:00–15:00 local time; slight differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Recent days have featured similar subsidence-driven warmth with highs of 32–34°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the final value by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
35°C 38%
34°C 37%
33°C 14%
36°C 7%
MỚI
$17,295 KL.
MỚI
$17,295 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
14%
34°C
37%
35°C
38%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 37%
33°C 14%
36°C 7%
MỚI
$17,295 KL.
MỚI
$17,295 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$1,156 KL.
<1%
29°C
$2,113 KL.
<1%
30°C
$873 KL.
<1%
31°C
$910 KL.
2%
32°C
$1,124 KL.
4%
33°C
$1,104 KL.
14%
34°C
$1,693 KL.
37%
35°C
$2,259 KL.
38%
36°C
$1,278 KL.
7%
37°C
$564 KL.
1%
38°C or higher
$4,221 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most likely peak for Chengdu on September 5, with 34°C holding a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Official forecasts and model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly flow under regional high pressure, supporting daytime heating to the low-to-mid 30s Celsius after morning lows near 23–24°C. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing through the afternoon, with peak readings typically occurring 13:00–15:00 local time; slight differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Recent days have featured similar subsidence-driven warmth with highs of 32–34°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the final value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,295Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most likely peak for Chengdu on September 5, with 34°C holding a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Official forecasts and model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly flow under regional high pressure, supporting daytime heating to the low-to-mid 30s Celsius after morning lows near 23–24°C. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing through the afternoon, with peak readings typically occurring 13:00–15:00 local time; slight differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Recent days have featured similar subsidence-driven warmth with highs of 32–34°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the final value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$17,295Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most likely peak for Chengdu on September 5, with 34°C holding a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Official forecasts and model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly flow under regional high pressure, supporting daytime heating to the low-to-mid 30s Celsius after morning lows near 23–24°C. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing through the afternoon, with peak readings typically occurring 13:00–15:00 local time; slight differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Recent days have featured similar subsidence-driven warmth with highs of 32–34°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the final value by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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