Market-implied odds for Chengdu’s September 6 minimum temperature remain closely bunched between 21–26 °C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. Current atmospheric conditions—moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover—favor a minimum near the long-term early-September average of 22–24 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any arriving weak front or changes in urban heat-island retention can easily move the realized low by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models continue to overlap several resolution thresholds, sustaining the dispersed trader consensus until the final observational update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?
30°C or higher 95%
27°C 48%
28°C 48%
21°C 47%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
40%
21°C
47%
22°C
25%
23°C
28%
24°C
34%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
47%
30°C or higher
95%
30°C or higher 95%
27°C 48%
28°C 48%
21°C 47%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$0 KL.
40%
21°C
$0 KL.
47%
22°C
$0 KL.
25%
23°C
$0 KL.
28%
24°C
$0 KL.
34%
25°C
$0 KL.
31%
26°C
$0 KL.
27%
27°C
$0 KL.
48%
28°C
$0 KL.
48%
29°C
$0 KL.
47%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds for Chengdu’s September 6 minimum temperature remain closely bunched between 21–26 °C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. Current atmospheric conditions—moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover—favor a minimum near the long-term early-September average of 22–24 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any arriving weak front or changes in urban heat-island retention can easily move the realized low by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models continue to overlap several resolution thresholds, sustaining the dispersed trader consensus until the final observational update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds for Chengdu’s September 6 minimum temperature remain closely bunched between 21–26 °C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. Current atmospheric conditions—moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover—favor a minimum near the long-term early-September average of 22–24 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any arriving weak front or changes in urban heat-island retention can easily move the realized low by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models continue to overlap several resolution thresholds, sustaining the dispersed trader consensus until the final observational update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for Chengdu’s September 6 minimum temperature remain closely bunched between 21–26 °C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. Current atmospheric conditions—moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover—favor a minimum near the long-term early-September average of 22–24 °C, yet small shifts in timing of any arriving weak front or changes in urban heat-island retention can easily move the realized low by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models continue to overlap several resolution thresholds, sustaining the dispersed trader consensus until the final observational update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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