Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS indicate Austin will reach highs near 100°F on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading 100–101°F (55.5%) and 98–99°F (38.0%) implied probabilities, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 91.6°F. Limited cloud cover and stable high pressure favor peak temperatures in these ranges, though minor variations in afternoon clearing or dew points could shift the exact maximum. Updated model runs and hourly observations through midday will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on September 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 13?
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 36%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 36%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
$337 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$217 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$182 KL.
1%
94-95°F
$126 KL.
2%
96-97°F
$1,244 KL.
4%
98-99°F
$935 KL.
36%
100-101°F
$2,057 KL.
56%
102-103°F
$380 KL.
6%
104-105°F
$70 KL.
2%
106-107°F
$194 KL.
1%
108°F or higher
$240 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS indicate Austin will reach highs near 100°F on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading 100–101°F (55.5%) and 98–99°F (38.0%) implied probabilities, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 91.6°F. Limited cloud cover and stable high pressure favor peak temperatures in these ranges, though minor variations in afternoon clearing or dew points could shift the exact maximum. Updated model runs and hourly observations through midday will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,982Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS indicate Austin will reach highs near 100°F on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading 100–101°F (55.5%) and 98–99°F (38.0%) implied probabilities, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 91.6°F. Limited cloud cover and stable high pressure favor peak temperatures in these ranges, though minor variations in afternoon clearing or dew points could shift the exact maximum. Updated model runs and hourly observations through midday will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,982Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS indicate Austin will reach highs near 100°F on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading 100–101°F (55.5%) and 98–99°F (38.0%) implied probabilities, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 91.6°F. Limited cloud cover and stable high pressure favor peak temperatures in these ranges, though minor variations in afternoon clearing or dew points could shift the exact maximum. Updated model runs and hourly observations through midday will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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