Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Friday high near 99°F in Austin under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This pattern sustains warm, humid advection from the Gulf, with dew points in the mid-70s supporting heat indices above 105°F while limiting full solar heating through scattered afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers. Recent days have featured similar upper-90s readings amid a broader late-summer ridge, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the observed maximum across the 100°F threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on September 11?
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Friday high near 99°F in Austin under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This pattern sustains warm, humid advection from the Gulf, with dew points in the mid-70s supporting heat indices above 105°F while limiting full solar heating through scattered afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers. Recent days have featured similar upper-90s readings amid a broader late-summer ridge, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the observed maximum across the 100°F threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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