Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high near 32°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure that favors strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This consensus, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where daily maxima often reach the low 30s before autumn cooling sets in, underpins the market’s strong preference for 32°C at 63.5% implied probability. Minor model variations around 31–33°C account for the secondary weighting on adjacent outcomes, while the absence of frontal systems or precipitation through the 24-hour window reduces upside risk for higher readings. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
32°C 63%
31°C 30%
33°C 5%
30°C 3%
MỚI
$14,350 KL.
MỚI
$14,350 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
30%
32°C
63%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
31°C 30%
33°C 5%
30°C 3%
MỚI
$14,350 KL.
MỚI
$14,350 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$164 KL.
<1%
27°C
$211 KL.
<1%
28°C
$335 KL.
<1%
29°C
$919 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,724 KL.
3%
31°C
$2,775 KL.
30%
32°C
$3,649 KL.
63%
33°C
$3,953 KL.
5%
34°C
$381 KL.
<1%
35°C
$135 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$125 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high near 32°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure that favors strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This consensus, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where daily maxima often reach the low 30s before autumn cooling sets in, underpins the market’s strong preference for 32°C at 63.5% implied probability. Minor model variations around 31–33°C account for the secondary weighting on adjacent outcomes, while the absence of frontal systems or precipitation through the 24-hour window reduces upside risk for higher readings. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,350Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high near 32°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure that favors strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This consensus, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where daily maxima often reach the low 30s before autumn cooling sets in, underpins the market’s strong preference for 32°C at 63.5% implied probability. Minor model variations around 31–33°C account for the secondary weighting on adjacent outcomes, while the absence of frontal systems or precipitation through the 24-hour window reduces upside risk for higher readings. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,350Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a high near 32°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure that favors strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This consensus, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where daily maxima often reach the low 30s before autumn cooling sets in, underpins the market’s strong preference for 32°C at 63.5% implied probability. Minor model variations around 31–33°C account for the secondary weighting on adjacent outcomes, while the absence of frontal systems or precipitation through the 24-hour window reduces upside risk for higher readings. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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