**Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Turkey produced a daytime maximum of 32°C in Ankara on September 12, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that exact threshold.** Official forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently projected afternoon highs of 31–33 °C under light winds and negligible cloud cover, matching observed station readings that peaked near 32 °C by early afternoon before cooling. This alignment with real-time meteorological data and historical September norms for the Anatolian plateau left virtually no room for outcomes below 31 °C or above 33 °C. Only an unexpected late-day spike or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter the recorded high, though current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,961 KL.
$30,961 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,961 KL.
$30,961 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Turkey produced a daytime maximum of 32°C in Ankara on September 12, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that exact threshold.** Official forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently projected afternoon highs of 31–33 °C under light winds and negligible cloud cover, matching observed station readings that peaked near 32 °C by early afternoon before cooling. This alignment with real-time meteorological data and historical September norms for the Anatolian plateau left virtually no room for outcomes below 31 °C or above 33 °C. Only an unexpected late-day spike or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter the recorded high, though current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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