Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), Met Office, AccuWeather, and BBC indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28 °C for Ankara on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (54.5 %) and 26 °C (33.5 %), as ensemble guidance shows limited upward potential and aligns with current seasonal norms rather than the month’s typical 30–32 °C peaks. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings higher. Traders therefore assign only modest probability (8 %) to 28 °C and negligible odds to extremes above 29 °C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in official short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 15?
27°C 55%
26°C 34%
28°C 8%
25°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
34%
27°C
55%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
26°C 34%
28°C 8%
25°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
23°C or below
$420 KL.
<1%
24°C
$389 KL.
1%
25°C
$337 KL.
4%
26°C
$1,125 KL.
34%
27°C
$2,289 KL.
55%
28°C
$648 KL.
8%
29°C
$605 KL.
2%
30°C
$402 KL.
<1%
31°C
$703 KL.
<1%
32°C
$277 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$313 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), Met Office, AccuWeather, and BBC indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28 °C for Ankara on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (54.5 %) and 26 °C (33.5 %), as ensemble guidance shows limited upward potential and aligns with current seasonal norms rather than the month’s typical 30–32 °C peaks. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings higher. Traders therefore assign only modest probability (8 %) to 28 °C and negligible odds to extremes above 29 °C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in official short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,508Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), Met Office, AccuWeather, and BBC indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28 °C for Ankara on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (54.5 %) and 26 °C (33.5 %), as ensemble guidance shows limited upward potential and aligns with current seasonal norms rather than the month’s typical 30–32 °C peaks. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings higher. Traders therefore assign only modest probability (8 %) to 28 °C and negligible odds to extremes above 29 °C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in official short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,508Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), Met Office, AccuWeather, and BBC indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28 °C for Ankara on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (54.5 %) and 26 °C (33.5 %), as ensemble guidance shows limited upward potential and aligns with current seasonal norms rather than the month’s typical 30–32 °C peaks. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings higher. Traders therefore assign only modest probability (8 %) to 28 °C and negligible odds to extremes above 29 °C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in official short-range guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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