Florida's 9th congressional district underwent redistricting ahead of the 2026 cycle, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and converting a seat previously held by Democrat Darren Soto into a Republican-leaning district. Soto, the incumbent, advanced unopposed from the Democratic primary, while a crowded field of seven Republicans will contest their August 18 primary. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican or Solid Republican, reflecting the altered electoral math and voter composition across Osceola, Highlands, and Indian River counties. Recent polling in the GOP primary shows a fragmented contest with substantial undecided voters, yet the district's partisan baseline supports the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$18,021 KL.
$18,021 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
24%
$18,021 KL.
$18,021 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,668 KL.
70%
Democratic Party
$7,353 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district underwent redistricting ahead of the 2026 cycle, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and converting a seat previously held by Democrat Darren Soto into a Republican-leaning district. Soto, the incumbent, advanced unopposed from the Democratic primary, while a crowded field of seven Republicans will contest their August 18 primary. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican or Solid Republican, reflecting the altered electoral math and voter composition across Osceola, Highlands, and Indian River counties. Recent polling in the GOP primary shows a fragmented contest with substantial undecided voters, yet the district's partisan baseline supports the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,021Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district underwent redistricting ahead of the 2026 cycle, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and converting a seat previously held by Democrat Darren Soto into a Republican-leaning district. Soto, the incumbent, advanced unopposed from the Democratic primary, while a crowded field of seven Republicans will contest their August 18 primary. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican or Solid Republican, reflecting the altered electoral math and voter composition across Osceola, Highlands, and Indian River counties. Recent polling in the GOP primary shows a fragmented contest with substantial undecided voters, yet the district's partisan baseline supports the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$18,021Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district underwent redistricting ahead of the 2026 cycle, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and converting a seat previously held by Democrat Darren Soto into a Republican-leaning district. Soto, the incumbent, advanced unopposed from the Democratic primary, while a crowded field of seven Republicans will contest their August 18 primary. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican or Solid Republican, reflecting the altered electoral math and voter composition across Osceola, Highlands, and Indian River counties. Recent polling in the GOP primary shows a fragmented contest with substantial undecided voters, yet the district's partisan baseline supports the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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