Elon Musk’s typical weekend posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 13–21 posts per day in the absence of major breaking news or product launches, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet range for the August 8–10 window at 51.5% implied probability. Recent engagement with Grok Imagine upgrades has sparked several replies and quote posts early on August 8, but no Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or political flashpoints have materialized to trigger the higher-volume rants that push weekly totals into the 65–89 band favored at 23.5%. Weekend slowdowns and the lack of scheduled catalysts keep extreme outcomes below 5% each, with traders monitoring any late-day amplification of AI or regulatory commentary that could shift momentum before Monday.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 52%
65-89 24%
<40 21%
90-114 4.5%
$113,402 KL.
$113,402 KL.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
21%
40-64
52%
65-89
24%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 52%
65-89 24%
<40 21%
90-114 4.5%
$113,402 KL.
$113,402 KL.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
$22,850 KL.
21%
40-64
$12,837 KL.
52%
65-89
$11,004 KL.
24%
90-114
$16,227 KL.
5%
115-139
$15,937 KL.
1%
140-164
$9,529 KL.
<1%
165-189
$11,580 KL.
<1%
190-214
$3,943 KL.
<1%
215-239
$5,406 KL.
<1%
240+
$5,514 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical weekend posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 13–21 posts per day in the absence of major breaking news or product launches, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet range for the August 8–10 window at 51.5% implied probability. Recent engagement with Grok Imagine upgrades has sparked several replies and quote posts early on August 8, but no Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or political flashpoints have materialized to trigger the higher-volume rants that push weekly totals into the 65–89 band favored at 23.5%. Weekend slowdowns and the lack of scheduled catalysts keep extreme outcomes below 5% each, with traders monitoring any late-day amplification of AI or regulatory commentary that could shift momentum before Monday.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$113,402Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical weekend posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 13–21 posts per day in the absence of major breaking news or product launches, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet range for the August 8–10 window at 51.5% implied probability. Recent engagement with Grok Imagine upgrades has sparked several replies and quote posts early on August 8, but no Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or political flashpoints have materialized to trigger the higher-volume rants that push weekly totals into the 65–89 band favored at 23.5%. Weekend slowdowns and the lack of scheduled catalysts keep extreme outcomes below 5% each, with traders monitoring any late-day amplification of AI or regulatory commentary that could shift momentum before Monday.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$113,402Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical weekend posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 13–21 posts per day in the absence of major breaking news or product launches, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 tweet range for the August 8–10 window at 51.5% implied probability. Recent engagement with Grok Imagine upgrades has sparked several replies and quote posts early on August 8, but no Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or political flashpoints have materialized to trigger the higher-volume rants that push weekly totals into the 65–89 band favored at 23.5%. Weekend slowdowns and the lack of scheduled catalysts keep extreme outcomes below 5% each, with traders monitoring any late-day amplification of AI or regulatory commentary that could shift momentum before Monday.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp