Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest base case for Elon Musk’s activity across August 6-8, reflecting his recent daily pace of roughly 13-21 posts amid a relatively quiet stretch with no major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or political firestorms. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25-plus tweets on ordinary days, but weekend timing and the absence of breaking news have capped expectations for a surge into the 65-89 bin. Recent X posts confirm steady engagement on Tesla Megapack updates and lighter replies rather than extended threads, reinforcing market-implied odds that favor moderate volume over the high-activity scenarios that dominate during product events or controversies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 48%
65-89 27%
<40 17%
90-114 8%
$44,978 KL.
$44,978 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
<40
17%
40-64
48%
65-89
27%
90-114
8%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
65-89 27%
<40 17%
90-114 8%
$44,978 KL.
$44,978 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
<40
$6,511 KL.
17%
40-64
$4,408 KL.
48%
65-89
$2,968 KL.
27%
90-114
$4,410 KL.
8%
115-139
$6,411 KL.
2%
140-164
$8,595 KL.
<1%
165-189
$2,210 KL.
<1%
190-214
$5,762 KL.
<1%
215-239
$1,771 KL.
<1%
240+
$1,931 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest base case for Elon Musk’s activity across August 6-8, reflecting his recent daily pace of roughly 13-21 posts amid a relatively quiet stretch with no major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or political firestorms. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25-plus tweets on ordinary days, but weekend timing and the absence of breaking news have capped expectations for a surge into the 65-89 bin. Recent X posts confirm steady engagement on Tesla Megapack updates and lighter replies rather than extended threads, reinforcing market-implied odds that favor moderate volume over the high-activity scenarios that dominate during product events or controversies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$44,978Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest base case for Elon Musk’s activity across August 6-8, reflecting his recent daily pace of roughly 13-21 posts amid a relatively quiet stretch with no major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or political firestorms. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25-plus tweets on ordinary days, but weekend timing and the absence of breaking news have capped expectations for a surge into the 65-89 bin. Recent X posts confirm steady engagement on Tesla Megapack updates and lighter replies rather than extended threads, reinforcing market-implied odds that favor moderate volume over the high-activity scenarios that dominate during product events or controversies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$44,978Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest base case for Elon Musk’s activity across August 6-8, reflecting his recent daily pace of roughly 13-21 posts amid a relatively quiet stretch with no major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or political firestorms. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25-plus tweets on ordinary days, but weekend timing and the absence of breaking news have capped expectations for a surge into the 65-89 bin. Recent X posts confirm steady engagement on Tesla Megapack updates and lighter replies rather than extended threads, reinforcing market-implied odds that favor moderate volume over the high-activity scenarios that dominate during product events or controversies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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