Elon Musk's high-volume posting patterns and sensitivity to breaking news cycles underpin trader consensus around 180-239 tweets for the August 11-18 window, with those three bins holding the strongest implied probabilities. Activity in this range typically reflects a mix of Tesla and SpaceX updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions, consistent with his established cadence on X. The tight clustering of leading outcomes highlights the inherent variability week to week, as sudden events can spike output while quieter periods or external commitments moderate it. Upcoming catalysts include any major product announcements or regulatory developments that could shift daily volume, though the market currently prices moderate consistency over extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
$38,876 KL.
$38,876 KL.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
11%
160-179
14%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
10%
260-279
9%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
$38,876 KL.
$38,876 KL.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
11%
160-179
14%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
10%
260-279
9%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's high-volume posting patterns and sensitivity to breaking news cycles underpin trader consensus around 180-239 tweets for the August 11-18 window, with those three bins holding the strongest implied probabilities. Activity in this range typically reflects a mix of Tesla and SpaceX updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions, consistent with his established cadence on X. The tight clustering of leading outcomes highlights the inherent variability week to week, as sudden events can spike output while quieter periods or external commitments moderate it. Upcoming catalysts include any major product announcements or regulatory developments that could shift daily volume, though the market currently prices moderate consistency over extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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