Strong 2026 domestic performance, with year-to-date grosses exceeding $6.3 billion by early August and up sharply from 2025, reflects blockbuster momentum from titles like Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million opening, Toy Story 5, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, and The Odyssey. Traders see this recovery—fueled by premium formats, higher ticket prices, and summer tentpoles—as capable of pushing the full-year total toward or above $10 billion, potentially cracking the all-time top tier if fall and holiday releases sustain the pace. Yet attendance remains well below 2019 peaks, and competition from prior high-grossing years creates tight odds across mid-pack placements. Key swing factors include upcoming chart updates, final quarter legs for current hits, and any late surprises that could shift the year into clearer top-six territory or leave it in the middle of the historical pack.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
6th or higher 45%
10th-12th 44%
13th-15th 44%
Below 15th 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
45%
7th-9th
43%
10th-12th
44%
13th-15th
44%
Below 15th
44%
6th or higher 45%
10th-12th 44%
13th-15th 44%
Below 15th 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
$0 KL.
45%
7th-9th
$0 KL.
43%
10th-12th
$0 KL.
44%
13th-15th
$0 KL.
44%
Below 15th
$0 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong 2026 domestic performance, with year-to-date grosses exceeding $6.3 billion by early August and up sharply from 2025, reflects blockbuster momentum from titles like Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million opening, Toy Story 5, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, and The Odyssey. Traders see this recovery—fueled by premium formats, higher ticket prices, and summer tentpoles—as capable of pushing the full-year total toward or above $10 billion, potentially cracking the all-time top tier if fall and holiday releases sustain the pace. Yet attendance remains well below 2019 peaks, and competition from prior high-grossing years creates tight odds across mid-pack placements. Key swing factors include upcoming chart updates, final quarter legs for current hits, and any late surprises that could shift the year into clearer top-six territory or leave it in the middle of the historical pack.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong 2026 domestic performance, with year-to-date grosses exceeding $6.3 billion by early August and up sharply from 2025, reflects blockbuster momentum from titles like Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million opening, Toy Story 5, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, and The Odyssey. Traders see this recovery—fueled by premium formats, higher ticket prices, and summer tentpoles—as capable of pushing the full-year total toward or above $10 billion, potentially cracking the all-time top tier if fall and holiday releases sustain the pace. Yet attendance remains well below 2019 peaks, and competition from prior high-grossing years creates tight odds across mid-pack placements. Key swing factors include upcoming chart updates, final quarter legs for current hits, and any late surprises that could shift the year into clearer top-six territory or leave it in the middle of the historical pack.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong 2026 domestic performance, with year-to-date grosses exceeding $6.3 billion by early August and up sharply from 2025, reflects blockbuster momentum from titles like Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million opening, Toy Story 5, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, and The Odyssey. Traders see this recovery—fueled by premium formats, higher ticket prices, and summer tentpoles—as capable of pushing the full-year total toward or above $10 billion, potentially cracking the all-time top tier if fall and holiday releases sustain the pace. Yet attendance remains well below 2019 peaks, and competition from prior high-grossing years creates tight odds across mid-pack placements. Key swing factors include upcoming chart updates, final quarter legs for current hits, and any late surprises that could shift the year into clearer top-six territory or leave it in the middle of the historical pack.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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