Early in the 2027 Oscar race for Best Documentary Feature, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner emerging yet among 2026 releases. Films like Tutu, which premiered at Berlinale and draws on archival footage of Desmond Tutu’s anti-apartheid legacy, hold an early edge in market-implied odds around 31%, while titles such as Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party, Once Upon a Time in Harlem, American Doctor, and Nuisance Bear cluster in the teens to low double digits. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming festival debuts at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus critical reception and guild attention, as documentary branch voters historically reward timely social-issue stories or innovative storytelling once shortlist season arrives. With momentum still fluid and many strong contenders tracking, outcomes remain highly sensitive to late-year reviews and precursor results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
One in a Million 32%
Musk 31%
Nuisance Bear 30%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Mar 14, 2027
One in a Million
32%
Musk
31%
Nuisance Bear
30%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
28%
Tutu
28%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
17%
American Doctor
15%
One in a Million 32%
Musk 31%
Nuisance Bear 30%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Mar 14, 2027
One in a Million
$5 KL.
32%
Musk
$0 KL.
31%
Nuisance Bear
$5 KL.
30%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$5 KL.
28%
Tutu
$5 KL.
28%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$5 KL.
17%
American Doctor
$5 KL.
15%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscar race for Best Documentary Feature, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner emerging yet among 2026 releases. Films like Tutu, which premiered at Berlinale and draws on archival footage of Desmond Tutu’s anti-apartheid legacy, hold an early edge in market-implied odds around 31%, while titles such as Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party, Once Upon a Time in Harlem, American Doctor, and Nuisance Bear cluster in the teens to low double digits. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming festival debuts at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus critical reception and guild attention, as documentary branch voters historically reward timely social-issue stories or innovative storytelling once shortlist season arrives. With momentum still fluid and many strong contenders tracking, outcomes remain highly sensitive to late-year reviews and precursor results.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscar race for Best Documentary Feature, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner emerging yet among 2026 releases. Films like Tutu, which premiered at Berlinale and draws on archival footage of Desmond Tutu’s anti-apartheid legacy, hold an early edge in market-implied odds around 31%, while titles such as Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party, Once Upon a Time in Harlem, American Doctor, and Nuisance Bear cluster in the teens to low double digits. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming festival debuts at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus critical reception and guild attention, as documentary branch voters historically reward timely social-issue stories or innovative storytelling once shortlist season arrives. With momentum still fluid and many strong contenders tracking, outcomes remain highly sensitive to late-year reviews and precursor results.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2027 Oscar race for Best Documentary Feature, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner emerging yet among 2026 releases. Films like Tutu, which premiered at Berlinale and draws on archival footage of Desmond Tutu’s anti-apartheid legacy, hold an early edge in market-implied odds around 31%, while titles such as Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party, Once Upon a Time in Harlem, American Doctor, and Nuisance Bear cluster in the teens to low double digits. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming festival debuts at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus critical reception and guild attention, as documentary branch voters historically reward timely social-issue stories or innovative storytelling once shortlist season arrives. With momentum still fluid and many strong contenders tracking, outcomes remain highly sensitive to late-year reviews and precursor results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp