Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.7% implied probability due to his record 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 73 goals across all competitions while securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and Supercup. His standout World Cup performances for England, including multiple goals in the knockout stages, have further strengthened trader consensus around his individual dominance. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.2% after a strong Barcelona season (26 goals, 21 assists) and Spain's World Cup triumph, positioning the teenager as the main challenger but trailing Kane in goal output and overall hardware. Rodri (8.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (7.1%) remain in contention through midfield control and attacking consistency, respectively, yet lack the recent volume of Kane's contributions that have shaped current pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHarry Kane 61.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.2%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.1%
$28,698,648 KL.
$28,698,648 KL.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.2%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.1%
$28,698,648 KL.
$28,698,648 KL.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.7% implied probability due to his record 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 73 goals across all competitions while securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and Supercup. His standout World Cup performances for England, including multiple goals in the knockout stages, have further strengthened trader consensus around his individual dominance. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.2% after a strong Barcelona season (26 goals, 21 assists) and Spain's World Cup triumph, positioning the teenager as the main challenger but trailing Kane in goal output and overall hardware. Rodri (8.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (7.1%) remain in contention through midfield control and attacking consistency, respectively, yet lack the recent volume of Kane's contributions that have shaped current pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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