Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their joint hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, attempting to defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, and Elder Guardian on a shared Java seed without either dying. Trader sentiment on mob-elimination outcomes centers on the elevated risk from common hostile mobs during early-game exploration and resource gathering, with skeletons holding near-certain implied probability due to ranged attacks and creepers close behind because of their explosive proximity damage in confined spaces. The live stream format amplifies volatility as deaths reset progress, and ongoing attempts—already exceeding 40—highlight how terrain generation, armor progression, and mob spawning mechanics shape which entities are most likely to trigger elimination messages. Key near-term catalysts include further boss preparations and any shifts in stream strategy that alter exposure to specific threats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?
$15,834 KL.

Blaze
80%

Spider
78%

Wither Skeleton
64%

Enderman
55%

Hoglin
55%

Witch
54%

Piglin
51%

Pillager
51%

Zombified Piglin
50%

Ghast
44%

Slime
34%

Iron Golem
15%

Polar Bear
14%

Phantom
12%
$15,834 KL.

Blaze
80%

Spider
78%

Wither Skeleton
64%

Enderman
55%

Hoglin
55%

Witch
54%

Piglin
51%

Pillager
51%

Zombified Piglin
50%

Ghast
44%

Slime
34%

Iron Golem
15%

Polar Bear
14%

Phantom
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Kai or Speed following an in-game death during the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."
An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message. If a mob has been renamed, this market will resolve based on the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message.
A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.
Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.
Only in-game deaths of the two accounts played by Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed will count. In-game deaths of any other player in the world, including guests, moderators, or co-streamers playing on their own accounts, will not count. It does not matter who is physically at the controls when an in-game death occurs; only whose account died in-game.
In-game deaths in any Minecraft world played as part of the marathon will count, including restarts on new seeds, and including if Kai and Speed modify or abandon the objectives of the challenge, change the ruleset, or play outside of Hardcore mode at any point. No in-game death will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage.
Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
This market will remain open until the marathon ends, regardless of whether the challenge is completed. If the marathon ends without a qualifying in-game death, or if the marathon is cancelled or never begins, this market will resolve to "No". If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the marathon on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sm9Af2DPsqsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Kai or Speed following an in-game death during the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."
An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message. If a mob has been renamed, this market will resolve based on the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message.
A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.
Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.
Only in-game deaths of the two accounts played by Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed will count. In-game deaths of any other player in the world, including guests, moderators, or co-streamers playing on their own accounts, will not count. It does not matter who is physically at the controls when an in-game death occurs; only whose account died in-game.
In-game deaths in any Minecraft world played as part of the marathon will count, including restarts on new seeds, and including if Kai and Speed modify or abandon the objectives of the challenge, change the ruleset, or play outside of Hardcore mode at any point. No in-game death will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage.
Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
This market will remain open until the marathon ends, regardless of whether the challenge is completed. If the marathon ends without a qualifying in-game death, or if the marathon is cancelled or never begins, this market will resolve to "No". If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the marathon on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sm9Af2DPsqsResolver
0x65070BE91...Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their joint hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, attempting to defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, and Elder Guardian on a shared Java seed without either dying. Trader sentiment on mob-elimination outcomes centers on the elevated risk from common hostile mobs during early-game exploration and resource gathering, with skeletons holding near-certain implied probability due to ranged attacks and creepers close behind because of their explosive proximity damage in confined spaces. The live stream format amplifies volatility as deaths reset progress, and ongoing attempts—already exceeding 40—highlight how terrain generation, armor progression, and mob spawning mechanics shape which entities are most likely to trigger elimination messages. Key near-term catalysts include further boss preparations and any shifts in stream strategy that alter exposure to specific threats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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