Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence—typically 30–50 daily posts in recent weekly tracking, driven by business updates, cultural commentary, and real-time reactions—anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent August and July Polymarket resolutions show totals clustering near or below prior highs, reflecting moderation on quieter stretches without major Tesla, SpaceX, or policy catalysts. With no confirmed high-profile events or earnings drops scheduled for August 10–12, the market prices in a baseline weekend or low-news period that favors mid-range totals over spikes above 90. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how even minor shifts in engagement volume can swing shorter-duration buckets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 50%
65-89 24%
<40 20%
90-114 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
<40
20%
40-64
50%
65-89
24%
90-114
6%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 24%
<40 20%
90-114 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
<40
$76 KL.
20%
40-64
$108 KL.
50%
65-89
$1,037 KL.
24%
90-114
$206 KL.
6%
115-139
$80 KL.
2%
140-164
$582 KL.
<1%
165-189
$597 KL.
<1%
190-214
$129 KL.
<1%
215-239
$126 KL.
<1%
240+
$338 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence—typically 30–50 daily posts in recent weekly tracking, driven by business updates, cultural commentary, and real-time reactions—anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent August and July Polymarket resolutions show totals clustering near or below prior highs, reflecting moderation on quieter stretches without major Tesla, SpaceX, or policy catalysts. With no confirmed high-profile events or earnings drops scheduled for August 10–12, the market prices in a baseline weekend or low-news period that favors mid-range totals over spikes above 90. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how even minor shifts in engagement volume can swing shorter-duration buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,277Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence—typically 30–50 daily posts in recent weekly tracking, driven by business updates, cultural commentary, and real-time reactions—anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent August and July Polymarket resolutions show totals clustering near or below prior highs, reflecting moderation on quieter stretches without major Tesla, SpaceX, or policy catalysts. With no confirmed high-profile events or earnings drops scheduled for August 10–12, the market prices in a baseline weekend or low-news period that favors mid-range totals over spikes above 90. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how even minor shifts in engagement volume can swing shorter-duration buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$3,277Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence—typically 30–50 daily posts in recent weekly tracking, driven by business updates, cultural commentary, and real-time reactions—anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent August and July Polymarket resolutions show totals clustering near or below prior highs, reflecting moderation on quieter stretches without major Tesla, SpaceX, or policy catalysts. With no confirmed high-profile events or earnings drops scheduled for August 10–12, the market prices in a baseline weekend or low-news period that favors mid-range totals over spikes above 90. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how even minor shifts in engagement volume can swing shorter-duration buckets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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