**Claude Opus 5’s July 24, 2026 release drives current market positioning, as the model set new state-of-the-art results on Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench Pro while matching or exceeding Fable 5 performance at roughly half the token cost.** Its efficiency upgrades, stronger agentic coding, and reduced safety restrictions relative to the flagship have elevated the entire Opus 5 tier in trader assessments of real-world utility. The split between claude-opus-5-high (56.5%) and claude-opus-5-max (34.0%) reflects ongoing debate over optimal reasoning effort settings for September 7 evaluations, with high effort favored for balanced daily use. Older Opus 4.6 variants trail far behind at 1.3%, underscoring the rapid generational shift within Anthropic’s lineup. No comparable competing releases have emerged in the past month to challenge this consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtclaude-opus-5-high 56%
claude-opus-5-max 34%
Other 9.8%
claude-opus-4-6-high 1.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
claude-opus-5-high
56%
claude-opus-5-max
34%
Other
10%
claude-opus-4-6-high
1%
claude-opus-5-high 56%
claude-opus-5-max 34%
Other 9.8%
claude-opus-4-6-high 1.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
claude-opus-5-high
$1,925 KL.
56%
claude-opus-5-max
$579 KL.
34%
Other
$286 KL.
10%
claude-opus-4-6-high
$338 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Claude Opus 5’s July 24, 2026 release drives current market positioning, as the model set new state-of-the-art results on Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench Pro while matching or exceeding Fable 5 performance at roughly half the token cost.**
Its efficiency upgrades, stronger agentic coding, and reduced safety restrictions relative to the flagship have elevated the entire Opus 5 tier in trader assessments of real-world utility. The split between claude-opus-5-high (56.5%) and claude-opus-5-max (34.0%) reflects ongoing debate over optimal reasoning effort settings for September 7 evaluations, with high effort favored for balanced daily use. Older Opus 4.6 variants trail far behind at 1.3%, underscoring the rapid generational shift within Anthropic’s lineup. No comparable competing releases have emerged in the past month to challenge this consensus.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,128Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Claude Opus 5’s July 24, 2026 release drives current market positioning, as the model set new state-of-the-art results on Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench Pro while matching or exceeding Fable 5 performance at roughly half the token cost.**
Its efficiency upgrades, stronger agentic coding, and reduced safety restrictions relative to the flagship have elevated the entire Opus 5 tier in trader assessments of real-world utility. The split between claude-opus-5-high (56.5%) and claude-opus-5-max (34.0%) reflects ongoing debate over optimal reasoning effort settings for September 7 evaluations, with high effort favored for balanced daily use. Older Opus 4.6 variants trail far behind at 1.3%, underscoring the rapid generational shift within Anthropic’s lineup. No comparable competing releases have emerged in the past month to challenge this consensus.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$3,128Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Claude Opus 5’s July 24, 2026 release drives current market positioning, as the model set new state-of-the-art results on Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench Pro while matching or exceeding Fable 5 performance at roughly half the token cost.** Its efficiency upgrades, stronger agentic coding, and reduced safety restrictions relative to the flagship have elevated the entire Opus 5 tier in trader assessments of real-world utility. The split between claude-opus-5-high (56.5%) and claude-opus-5-max (34.0%) reflects ongoing debate over optimal reasoning effort settings for September 7 evaluations, with high effort favored for balanced daily use. Older Opus 4.6 variants trail far behind at 1.3%, underscoring the rapid generational shift within Anthropic’s lineup. No comparable competing releases have emerged in the past month to challenge this consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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