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Економ·AAA

Will gas hit __ by end of August?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of August?
Економ·AAA

Will gas hit __ by end of August?

Jul 31

Aug 31

Jul 31

Aug 31

НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$4,711 Обс.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$1,466 Обс.

6%

↑ $4.75

$70 Обс.

16%

↑ $4.50

$564 Обс.

33%

↑ $4.25

$863 Обс.

62%

↓ $3.90

$181 Обс.

48%

↓ $3.70

$1,327 Обс.

28%

↓ $3.50

$22 Обс.

13%

↓ $3.25

$0 Обс.

25%

↓ $3.00

$0 Обс.

24%

↓ $2.50

$218 Обс.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas futures, currently trading near $2.76 per MMBtu with the August contract around $2.64–$2.73, face downward pressure from elevated inventories 6.4% above the five-year seasonal average and robust Lower 48 production at record levels near 110 bcfd. The latest EIA storage report showed a below-consensus 28 bcf build, providing modest support, yet ample supply and softening LNG export flows continue to weigh on prices. Cooler weather forecasts across key demand regions are further tempering summer cooling needs, while the Henry Hub forward curve reflects expectations for averages near $3.60 over 2026. The next weekly storage update on August 11 and any shifts in production or export data represent key near-term catalysts that could influence implied probabilities ahead of month-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Обсяг
$4,711
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas futures, currently trading near $2.76 per MMBtu with the August contract around $2.64–$2.73, face downward pressure from elevated inventories 6.4% above the five-year seasonal average and robust Lower 48 production at record levels near 110 bcfd. The latest EIA storage report showed a below-consensus 28 bcf build, providing modest support, yet ample supply and softening LNG export flows continue to weigh on prices. Cooler weather forecasts across key demand regions are further tempering summer cooling needs, while the Henry Hub forward curve reflects expectations for averages near $3.60 over 2026. The next weekly storage update on August 11 and any shifts in production or export data represent key near-term catalysts that could influence implied probabilities ahead of month-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Обсяг
$4,711
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will gas hit __ by end of August?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «↑ $4.25» з 62%, далі «↓ $3.90» з 48%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will gas hit __ by end of August?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 29, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will gas hit __ by end of August?», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will gas hit __ by end of August?» — «↑ $4.25» з 62%. Наступний — «↓ $3.90» з 48%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Will gas hit __ by end of August?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.