Recent de-escalation in the Middle East following the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum has reopened the Strait of Hormuz, boosting Persian Gulf supply flows and triggering sharp downward revisions to third-quarter price forecasts. WTI futures currently trade near $85 per barrel amid accelerating inventory builds, with the EIA projecting Brent averages of $74 per barrel in 3Q26 and ongoing oversupply of 2.7 million barrels per day emerging in 4Q26. J.P. Morgan similarly anticipates Brent at $86 per barrel this quarter before declining toward $78 by year-end, reflecting faster non-OPEC output growth and moderating non-OECD demand. Key near-term catalysts include weekly API and EIA inventory releases plus August production data that could reinforce or temper the shift toward lower price levels.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
45%
↑ $110
50%
↑ $105
50%
↑ $100
50%
↑ $95
50%
↑ $90
59%
↓ $85
50%
↓ $80
50%
↓ $75
50%
↓ $70
47%
↓ $65
47%
↓ $60
45%
↓ $55
22%
$1,165 Обс.
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
45%
↑ $110
50%
↑ $105
50%
↑ $100
50%
↑ $95
50%
↑ $90
59%
↓ $85
50%
↓ $80
50%
↓ $75
50%
↓ $70
47%
↓ $65
47%
↓ $60
45%
↓ $55
22%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Джерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent de-escalation in the Middle East following the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum has reopened the Strait of Hormuz, boosting Persian Gulf supply flows and triggering sharp downward revisions to third-quarter price forecasts. WTI futures currently trade near $85 per barrel amid accelerating inventory builds, with the EIA projecting Brent averages of $74 per barrel in 3Q26 and ongoing oversupply of 2.7 million barrels per day emerging in 4Q26. J.P. Morgan similarly anticipates Brent at $86 per barrel this quarter before declining toward $78 by year-end, reflecting faster non-OPEC output growth and moderating non-OECD demand. Key near-term catalysts include weekly API and EIA inventory releases plus August production data that could reinforce or temper the shift toward lower price levels.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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